Jessica Chapel / Railbird

Belmont Bombs

Andrew Beyer mentions something that’s been on my mind as I start thinking about how to play this year’s Belmont Stakes:

Forget about handicapping; if you bet every starter in every Belmont Stakes for the last 15 years you’d have almost doubled your money.

Last year, I looked at the win payouts for each of the Triple Crown races and the five Grade 1 Kentucky Derby preps over a decade, and the Belmont was the race that offered the greatest opportunity:

Only one favorite has won the Belmont Stakes in the past 10 years, and that was Afleet Alex in 2005. Handicappers look for longshots in the Derby, but the Belmont has delivered a higher average price ($43.61) and a healthy ROI in recent years — if you had bet $2 to win on all 110 Belmont starters since 2002, you would have almost doubled your money.

There’s a lot to like about I’ll Have Another on Saturday, but the Belmont is the classic race to look for an upset with a rewarding payoff.


5 Comments

Welcome back!

Posted by dana on June 4, 2012 @ 1:58 pm

I have so much to catch up on.

Posted by Jessica on June 4, 2012 @ 2:11 pm

That sounds promising!

Posted by dana on June 4, 2012 @ 4:15 pm

Yea, the railbird is flying again, your turn Dana ;-)
Love to see a triple crown, but for betting value I’m looking at Paynter.

Posted by Bud on June 6, 2012 @ 6:37 pm

Bud’s right, Dana! Come back, GbG.

See you both at beautiful Belmont …

Posted by Jessica on June 6, 2012 @ 6:40 pm