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	<title>Jessica Chapel / Railbird &#187; Caracortado</title>
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	<description>Thoroughbred racing news and notes</description>
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		<title>Preakness Picks</title>
		<link>http://jessicachapel.com/2010/05/14/preakness-picks-3/</link>
		<comments>http://jessicachapel.com/2010/05/14/preakness-picks-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 May 2010 03:50:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jessica</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Racing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Breeders' Cup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Calvin Borel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Caracortado]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Preakness Stakes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Super Saver]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Mea culpa: Super Saver never appeared on my top 10 list before the Kentucky Derby. He didn&#8217;t appear on any of my tickets Derby day either, despite one small mention I made Derby week of his positive attributes. (I can&#8217;t toss him? Well, I did.) For the Preakness, though, I&#8217;m on the bandwagon. Despite Todd [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mea culpa: Super Saver never appeared on my <a href="http://www.paulickreport.com/blog/tag/paulick-derby-index/">top 10</a> list before the Kentucky Derby. He didn&#8217;t appear on any of my tickets Derby day either, despite one small mention I made Derby week of his positive attributes. (<a href="http://twitter.com/raceday360/status/13083353541">I can&#8217;t toss him</a>? Well, I did.) For the Preakness, though, I&#8217;m on the bandwagon. <a href="http://www.nypost.com/p/sports/horse_racing/todd_sees_path_to_triple_crown_MJylxqWqOVQxyy2zKohSTK">Despite Todd Pletcher&#8217;s concern that 14 days may be too quick a turnaround</a> (<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/11/AR2010051104922.html">a worry Andrew Beyer knocks down</a>), all reports are that the colt came out the Derby in excellent condition <a href="http://startelegramsports.typepad.com/west_points/2010/05/some-words-including-one-put-there-by-todd-pletcher-.html">and is exercising enthusiastically</a> at Pimlico. <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/horse/triplecrown2010/news/story?id=5181365">With little pace expected</a>, and his now proven versatility, Super Saver will be tough to beat in the Preakness. I&#8217;ll be playing an exacta with Caracortado, the California-bred gelding with an ugly Santa Anita Derby running line shipping east for the first time. He&#8217;s fresh, he has heart, and he prefers to be forwardly placed, a running style that should suit a race without much speed.</p>
<p>More picks: <a href="http://www.horseraceinsider.com/blog.php/Preakness-Stakes/2010-preakness-stakes-media-selections">Horserace Insider</a>, <a href="http://therail.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/05/14/our-preakness-picks-down-to-the-wire/">The Rail</a>, <a href="http://helloracefans.com/features/hrf-picks/2010-preakness-card-picks/">Hello Race Fans</a>.</p>
<p>Calvin Borel walks back: Flush with the immediate thrill of a Derby win, the jockey made a bold prediction. &#8220;<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/03/sports/03racing.html">I&#8217;m going to win the Triple Crown this year</a>.&#8221; This week, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE64A67C20100511">he&#8217;s feeling more circumspect</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;I knew if he could win the Derby, he&#8217;d be really tough in the next two legs,&#8221; said Borel. &#8220;But to predict a Triple Crown? You just can&#8217;t do that. Man, winning it is tough to do.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://racing.courier-journal.com/2010/05/super-saver-tackles-next-step-on-road.html">Pletcher is feeling good</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;It&#8217;s a challenge, for sure. But it&#8217;s something you look forward to. To me, there&#8217;s nothing as exciting in this game as potentially going to the Belmont with a Triple Crown candidate, and that&#8217;s certainly what we’re hoping for.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://espn.go.com/horse-racing/blog/_/name/mayne_kenny">Kenny Mayne checks in from Baltimore</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>As I climbed four flights of stairs I wondered if we&#8217;d have to airlift Hank Goldberg onto the roof. He&#8217;s weighed down by that much <em>money.</em></p></blockquote>
<p>Changing the subject: I&#8217;ve been meaning to return to Wednesday&#8217;s post on the Breeders&#8217; Cup, in which I glossed over a couple important points; I might wait another day or two to do so, considering the news this afternoon <a href="http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/national-news/2010/May/14/MI-Developments-voids-Oak-Tree-contract.aspx">that MI Developments has voided the Oak Tree at Santa Anita contract</a>. Regarding the discussions between the Breeders&#8217; Cup and Oak Tree about hosting the event permanently at Santa Anita, Oak Tree executive Sherwood Chillingworth commented, &#8220;<a href="http://drf.com/news/article/112984.html">This certainly could affect that in some way</a>.&#8221; Understated.</p>
<p>Elsewhere: <a href="http://helloracefans.com/handicapping/pace/fractionally-speaking/">A short piece about fractions for Hello Race Fans</a>.</p>
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