JC / Railbird

Bounce-and-Win

Steven Crist considers the possibility that Bellamy Road bounces from his 120 Wood Memorial Beyer figure and still wins the Kentucky Derby:

Let’s say Bellamy Road goes out and runs a 113 in the Derby, which some would consider a bounce off his Wood. Have you got a strong candidate to run a 114 and beat him? The next best Beyer out there is Afleet Alex’s 108 in the Arkansas Derby. There’s plenty of room for a bounce-and-win. (Daily Racing Form — sub. req.)

It’s possible, I suppose. But how likely is it that with a full field of 20 in the Derby, and with horses — many more experienced — that’ll challenge him on the pace, Bellamy Road will get the sort of trip he needs to run that 113?