JC / Railbird

Today’s Longshot Flyer

BEL, R8: Unbridled Refrain (ML 20-1). If scratched/off turf, Pluracity (ML 12-1). Looking for the former to wake up on grass, like the speed and in-the-money record of the latter. [Results: Unbridled Refrain scratched, which was probably just as well, since this race came up quite competitive. Pluracity tracked the pace, then faded to finish fifth at 7-1. This was the leg that kicked me out of the pick six, leaving me in the running for 5-of-6 only if either Ten Forty or Stand Pat won the ninth race. Ten Forty did, at 3-5, but the pick six, which had swelled to $4.4 million by the start, still paid a generous $103,754 to 29 winners, thanks to 10-1 Youbethecan in the fifth and 23-1 Willsboro Point in the sixth. Willsboro should have been the longshot flyer here, since he’s the sort of horse I love in these spots — lightly-raced, solid efforts in three of his five starts, beat non-winners of two last out, etc. — and figured to be overlooked in a way Pluracity wouldn’t in the eighth. Next time.]

1 Comment

Will rise again.
This time no cursing.

Posted by Ernie on June 12, 2008 @ 3:27 pm