JC / Railbird

This and That

NYRA’s video of Rachel Alexandra returning to Saratoga from Monmouth is full of mysteries. Well, two. What’s that face trainer Steve Asmussen makes at :59? And what’s the answer to the final question?

Yes! The Personal Ensign is possible, and maybe not only for Rachel Alexandra, reports Tim Wilkin in the Times-Union. “We’re trying to decide that. We have not confirmed anything yet. We’re looking at several options,” said Dottie Ingordo-Shirreffs, when asked if Zenyatta was being considered. Trainer Todd Pletcher has already said that Delaware Handicap winner Life At Ten is likely, an intriguing third to this much talked about match-up. (“There is no reason why this can’t happen,” Wilkin editorializes on his blog about just the big two, but no reason doesn’t mean some reason won’t be found …)

This year’s Arc winner? Breeders’ Cup Turf favorite? Harbinger demolished the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes field at Ascot on Saturday, setting a new course record of 2:26.78 with his 11-length win:

The following day:

… the boffins at Timeform, regarded as the “bible” of its field, put their necks on the line with a provisional rating of 142 for the colt. To put that in perspective, that is below only Sea-Bird, Brigadier Gerard and Tudor Minstrel since the firm’s first annual volume was published in 1948, and the equal of, or above, the likes of Ribot, Mill Reef, Dancing Brave, Dubai Millennium, Shergar, Vaguely Noble and last year’s celebrity, Sea The Stars.

Not all are convinced Harbinger deserves such an extraordinary rating: “… to have a horse go from 123 to 142 in six weeks would require remarkable improvement. It’s not impossible, but I’d like to see him do it again first.”

That may be a tall order: “Six of the last nine King George winners never won again while ten of the last 14 failed to ever repeat to the same level …


2 Comments

The name Tudor Minstrel should remind us: Timeform’s guess isn’t any better than yours or mine; and the very concept of describing the class of group contenders (i.e. horses that don’t compete in handicaps) in the form of a number is, IMO, fundamentally alien to the character of European racing, if not of racing in general.

Also, none other than Workforce was already hailed as Sea Bird the Third after a stunningly impressive victory of his own in this year’s Epsom Derby. Harbinger himself was the favorite for the 2009 St. Leger, then showed absolutely nothing in the G2 Great Voltigeur and was done for the season.

Still, Derby and King George romps with two different horses, I wonder what Timeform rating Sir Michael Stoute deserves.

Posted by malcer on July 27, 2010 @ 6:25 am

“Still, Derby and King George romps with two different horses, I wonder what Timeform rating Sir Michael Stoute deserves.”

That’s the comment of the day, Malcer!

Posted by Jessica on July 27, 2010 @ 11:12 am