JC / Railbird

Ready, Set, Handicap

Post positions for the 2009 Kentucky Derby:

PP Horse Jockey ML
1 West Side Bernie Stewart Elliott 30-1
2 Musket Man Eibar Coa 20-1
3 Mr. Hot Stuff John Velazquez 30-1
4 Advice Rene Douglas 30-1
5 Hold Me Back Kent Desormeaux 15-1
6 Friesan Fire Gabriel Saez 5-1
7 Papa Clem Rafael Bejarano 20-1
8 Mine That Bird Calvin Borel 50-1
9 Join in the Dance Chris DeCarlo 50-1
10 Regal Ransom Alan Garcia 30-1
11 Chocolate Candy Mike Smith 20-1
12 General Quarters Julien Leparoux 20-1
13 I Want Revenge Joe Talamo 3-1
14 Atomic Rain Joe Bravo 50-1
15 Dunkirk Edgar Prado 4-1
16 Pioneerof the Nile Garrett Gomez 4-1
17 Summer Bird Chris Rosier 50-1
18 Nowhere to Hide Shaun Bridgmohan 50-1
19 Desert Party Ramon Dominguez 15-1
20 Flying Private Robby Albarado 50-1

Early impressions of the draw: All the trainers claim to be pleased, and I can see why — no one appears to be compromised by stall assignment. As for the morning line, I have no serious complaint, although 4-1 on Dunkirk seems a tad low — really, isn’t he more of an 8-1 shot? — and 30-1 on Regal Ransom a little high. Several horses, such as Atomic Rain and Nowhere to Hide, will almost certainly go to post higher than 50-1. (The Crist Blog line puts those two at 80-1 and 60-1 respectively.) I’m feeling a little cavalier, so I’m going to agree with Alan that I Want Revenge is an easy play against, especially if he’s anywhere near 3-1 at post. As impressive as he was in the Wood (and that was an extremely good performance), the New York-prepped contingent looks the weakest, with the spring’s key races all taking place points south and west. Before I commit myself to any (more) premature stands, though, I should probably take a look at the past performances — free from DRF and BRIS.


2 Comments

It should be interesting if Join in the Dance with Chris DeCarlo will be up there forcing a lively clip for uncoupled stablemate Dunkirk.

If Churchill Downs eliminated the six 50/1 shots in this race, would it not accord a safer, cleaner trip for the best horses in the race? And an auxillary gate would not be required.

Anyway, I’m conducting my usual fare at my blog.
Another contest but this time it’s: Kentucky Derby 2009!

http://theknightskyracing.blogspot.com/
Hope you can join our group for this session. ;-)

Posted by The_Knight_Sky on April 29, 2009 @ 9:51 pm

3-1 is ridiculous… I firmly believe that he’s gonna be the name pick as well so I wouldn’t be surprised to see him go even a little lower.

Posted by dana on April 29, 2009 @ 10:31 pm