JC / Railbird

I don’t get this. Are you saying that winning the Derby is enough to be considered exceptional?

Posted by EJXD2 on March 27, 2008 @ 12:34 pm

No, I was musing more generally on handicapping the Derby and perceptions of Derby winners …

Posted by Jessica on March 27, 2008 @ 12:58 pm

I always enjoy how the Derby winner goes from being medium to high odds to being crazy-short odds in the Preakness… it’s like horseplayers forget about how much luck it takes to win a 20-horse race sometimes…

Posted by Michael on March 27, 2008 @ 1:25 pm

Giacomo certainly took a ridiculous dive in price after winning the Derby, but Charismatic was still an awesome overlay at ~8-to-1 in his Preakness.
Real Quiet paid OK in his Preakness, Point Given was favored over Monarchos in their Preakness, and Peace Rules was nearly favored over Funny Cide in their Preakness.

Posted by EJXD2 on March 27, 2008 @ 7:12 pm

I didn’t have the time to go back and check the charts before I made my statement, but in my mind it always seemed that the Derby winner took a bigger nose dive than they apparently did.
I guess I’m just remembering Mike Battaglia and Bob Neumeier jumping on the bandwagon…

Posted by Michael on March 27, 2008 @ 9:00 pm