JC / Railbird

Who’s in your five?

I thought I’d piggyback on Jessica’s post to A) introduce myself and B) post my own Derby five as of Tuesday night.
My name is Ed DeRosa, and I am news editor of Thoroughbred Times. More importantly for the purpose of this exercise, I am a race fan and avid bettor who thoroughly enjoys many of the racing-related blogs both in and out of the TBA.
I’m a frequent reader/commenter on Railbird, Handride, Thoroughbredblog, Cristblog, and on the Thorograph forum. I have enjoyed the dialog and now look forward to dissecting the Derby with Jessica and her readers.
I’ll be in Louisville “on assignment” beginning Friday night and hope to bring some on-site perspective to one of my favorite racing blogs. Michael Tynan of fellow TBA member Thoroughbredblog will also be on site.
So who’s in my five?
1. Z Fortune… this horse is starting to pick up steam, but I can’t imagine him being anything less than a $20 horse, so I’m on board.
2. Gayego… There’s a horse like this every year—the horse who “can’t get the distance,” and the price improves because everyone just keeps repeating that mantra. More on this later, but for now I like him at the price. Obviously I think the Arkansas Derby is a key race.
3. Colonel John… This is more a “I think he deserves a top three ranking” selection than a “I’ll play him in all my tris” selection, but it’s hard to fault what he’s done so far and the consistency with which he’s done it, and if I like Gayego, I have to like Colonel John at least a little bit right?
4. Big Brown… Depending on which numbers you trust most, he’s either the fastest by a lot or fastest by a little but clearly the fastest. It’s hard to ignore Dutrow’s enthusiasm for this horse, and that type of attitude is infectious Derby week, but I’m going to stay away at a short price.
5. Smooth Air… My Derby budget (for the race itself) is usually about $100, which doesn’t give me a lot of wiggle room to get too jazzy, but if I strike it rich on Oaks day or during the undercard, then I might try to just single this guy underneath to hit the tri. He’s consistent and fast enough to make an impact.
Thanks for having me, Jessica!


4 Comments

Welcome, Ed! Delighted to have you here and looking forward to your reports from Churchill.

Posted by Jessica on April 22, 2008 @ 9:07 pm

As of this second:
5. Court Vision
4. Visionaire
3. Pyro
2. Colonel John
1. Big Brown

Posted by Ernie Munick on April 22, 2008 @ 10:35 pm

5. Adriano – Taking a stab, hoping the blood is there and that his lone dirt start is an aberration.
4. Cool Coal Man – draw line through last and the knocks aren’t as hard to take. Stalker type could have him there at the right place at the right time.
3. Pyro – Can’t toss him, don’t want to get beat by him either. Obvious.
2. Eight Belles – short fields or not, has a knack for picking up a check, the winning kind too. Many here don’t seem to like to win.
1. Visionaire – Best of the ‘other’ non-runners in bluegrass, keeps improving after running the gauntlet to get here. Set for big step.

Posted by o_crunk on April 22, 2008 @ 11:45 pm

I’m starting to think Big Brown is more of a Smarty Jones than a Bellamy Road. If he’s posted anywhere between 6 and 15, then I like him to win. In the case, the trick is to find a way to make some money.
I’m not sure why Colonel John gets so much attention. All I see is a 95 beyer. Is there something wrong with that number?

Posted by Jeff on April 23, 2008 @ 6:44 pm