JC / Railbird

Saratoga

Checking In

with the 2-year-olds I’m following. Smash, an impressive first-out winner at Hollywood in July, hasn’t worked since July and has had some “setbacks,” trainer Bob Baffert told Steve Andersen. “Some of them got down [to Del Mar] and had setbacks. I didn’t want to push them.” The Smart Strike colt could be sent to Belmont for the fall meet. Trainer Rick Violette reports that Sovereign Default, expected to start in Monday’s Hopeful Stakes at Saratoga, is injured and out indefinitely. Typhoon Slew, coming off a nice grass win at Ellis Park earlier this summer, finished third in the With Anticipation Stakes on Friday. The race was won by Soldat, switching from dirt to turf and exiting a second to Wine Police in a Saratoga maiden special last month. “When I asked him at the quarter-pole, whoosh! He really took off,” said rider Alan Garcia. Trainer Kiaran McLaughlin said the colt could start next in the Pilgrim Breeders’ Cup at Belmont in October and would point to the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf. Much praise for Uncle Mo from Dick Powell: “He was remarkable … anyone that was here that day might say years from now, ‘I was there the day that Uncle Mo broke his maiden.'” If the Debutante at Del Mar holds up, next year’s top 3-year-old filly could be a Californian. The 12-horse race came up tough.

Kantharos Out

Unfortunate news: It was announced via press release Tuesday afternoon that undefeated Saratoga Special winner Kantharos suffered a career-ending sesamoid fracture in his left foreleg while galloping out after a five-furlong work over the Oklahoma training track on Monday morning. Dave Grening reports in DRF that the colt “appeared to be uncomfortable” as he was cooling out. X-rays revealed the injury.

There goes the leading 2-year-old East coast male. Farewell, Kantharos. We hardly got to know you in three races, but you sure looked promising.

Whoever wins the G1 Hopeful Stakes will head into the fall as a division leader. The race is shaping up a highly competitive affair, an interesting early test, with buzz babies such as Boys at Tosconova*, Wine Police*, and Settle for Medal likely to start on Monday. Sovereign Default is also possible for the race. A first-out winner at Belmont, Sovereign Default scratched from the Special — “I thought Sovereign Default could benefit from the three additional weeks,” said trainer Rick Violette — but he beat another likely Hopeful starter, Stay Thirsty, in that race on July 15. Stay Thirsty, second that day, returned to win a Saratoga maiden special, as did Air Support, the fifth-place finisher. Punster, third, and Dax, sixth, have both run second in their next starts.

I’m surprised there’s been so little comment on Magna’s announced Preakness 5.5 bonus, which will award $5.5 million to the connections of a horse who sweeps a series of Kentucky Derby prep races at one of the company’s tracks and then the Preakness Stakes, and seems very likely to affect the running of next year’s Triple Crown season. To be eligible, a horse must win the Robert B. Lewis or San Felipe at Santa Anita, or the El Camino Real at Golden Gate, then the Santa Anita Derby, or the Holy Bull or Fountain of Youth, then the Florida Derby. This year, Sidney’s Candy (San Felipe-Santa Anita Derby) would have been a candidate. In 2009, Pioneerof the Nile (San Felipe-Santa Anita Derby) and Quality Road (Fountain of Youth-Florida Derby) would have been eligible. It’s entirely possible that in 2011, two horses could be running for the bonus. It’s also conceivable that connections of a Santa Anita or Florida Derby winner could pass on the Kentucky Derby. Why not take a crack at $5 million with a fresh horse in a smaller field? There’s prestige, and then there’s big money.

12:50 PM Addendum: Ed DeRosa has a post today on the scheme and what it mean for Triple Crown marketing. “It was the birth of a great idea … but it may be the death of the Triple Crown series as we know it.”

*Boys at Tosconova and Wine Police worked on Wednesday at Saratoga. Steve Davidowitz and company’s Grade One Racing doesn’t have notes up for the moves yet, but previous work notes — especially for Boys at Tosconova, who worked with Pleasant Colony winner Trickmeister a couple weeks ago — are seriously good. I highly recommend the site, which is free through the Breeders’ Cup. There’s a terrific wealth of info on individual horses available.

The Bottom Line

Steve Haskin responds to the retire-Rachel crowd:

Rachel’s defeat in the Personal Ensign, although extremely disappointing, should in the long run be looked upon as just that — a defeat, and not as an indication that she no longer should be competing. If she shows any physical or mental signs coming out of the Personal Ensign that she has had enough, then by all means retire her. But if she is sound and that passion is still evident, there is no reason not to put the sword in her hand again and see if she can recapture the glory of last year — at her distance.

Asked if retirement was a possibility, trainer Steve Asmussen replied:

“That question wasn’t brought up to me.”

So, onward. Rachel Alexandra is scheduled to return to the track on Wednesday. Plans for her will be made later. Persistently, winner of the Personal Ensign, is being pointed to the Beldame at Belmont, as is Life At Ten.

Informed Decision may try turf in her next start following her sixth-place finish as the favorite in the Ballerina Stakes on Saturday, said trainer Jonathan Sheppard. “I’ve always said to myself maybe sometime down the road, if she stubs her toe a little bit, that it might be time to try something different,” he told the Daily Racing Form. The 5-year-old mare is a winner over dirt and synthetics; adding a grass win would make her an Omnisurface Star.

Uncle Mo, buzz baby, gets a big 102 BSF for his debut.

At Saratoga

Forgive me a bit of redboarding.

(Don’t worry, I’m not going to claim to have had Persistently. I played the undercard, passed on the feature.)

We were in our seats at Saratoga well before first post. Mr. Railbird, usually good for about three hours at the track, was considering a mid-afternoon stroll into town, and wondering, if he took that walk up Broadway, if he would regret missing the Personal Ensign.

“It’s not going to be another Woodward,” I said. “I expect her to lose.”

It was true. I could already see the finish, the head or half-length of another horse in front of Rachel Alexandra. I didn’t think it would be 21-1 Persistently, running in her first graded stakes race in two years, a result that I would only appreciate later — there’s an undeniable narrative satisfaction to the winning connections being those of the race’s namesake, dead this year at 26.

I’m a fangirl, though, and I still hoped, and when she looked to be pulling away at the top of the stretch, having put away Life At Ten with ease after a solid opening half in :47.73 and three-quarters in 1:12.02, I let out a cheer. There was a flash of her old brilliance, a moment in which she looked like the Rachel of 2009. Then came Persistently, and all was over. A tired Rachel Alexandra going 10 furlongs for the first time, needing more than :27 seconds for the final quarter, was outrun by a length. “I didn’t feel any acceleration and I got worried,” said jockey Calvin Borel. “She wasn’t really there. I knew if anyone was running behind us, we were in trouble.”

We don’t want the magic to end.”

It’s hard to let go of what was.

But, let’s face it, ladies and gentlemen. Rachel Alexandra this year is not the same horse she was last year.”

A different horse, surely, but still tough and full of heart.

The time has come to send her home.”

How silly.

With every loss this year have come more calls to retire the filly. What it is about losing that provokes this reaction? It says so much more about the human ego than it does about the horse, who’s hardly disgracing herself on track (even if it is a shame about the 95 Beyer speed figure in the Personal Ensign, ending her streak of 12 consecutive triple-digit Beyers). “I don’t want to give up on getting her back to where we were,” said trainer Steve Asmussen. And why should he? The Breeders’ Cup Classic is probably out, but with a record of two wins and three seconds from five starts, there’s no reason to think Rachel Alexandra can’t be competitive in the Distaff Ladies’ Classic.

“Her poor showing Sunday doesn’t mean that her achievements were in any way a fluke,” writes Andrew Beyer. “Her loss only demonstrates that she is flesh and blood, not a running machine.”

And still — as a friend emailed to say this morning — a hell of a horse.

Rarely is there as much dissonance between a race call and what’s happening on track as there was in the Travers Stakes. Watching the replay, the excitement in Tom Durkin’s voice as the field comes down the stretch just doesn’t square with Fly Down and Afleet Express looking for all the world like two horses at Aqueduct in February who really don’t want to pass each other while the other runners stagger behind to the wire. The final time of 2:03.28 was the slowest since 1998 (and somehow earns a Beyer speed figure of 105 for the first two finishers). Per Formulator, Afleet Express ran the last quarter in :26.44, Fly Down in :26.37. That’s just ugly. Track condition was certainly a factor. “The inside part of the racing strip was the path to victory,” notes Beyer. Gary West shares his analysis: “… the winning times on the day, when compared, don’t make any sense unless the track, for whatever reason, was slowing down. And slowing down.”

One of the more interesting juveniles running this summer is Theyskens’ Theory, a three-quarter sibling to 2005 juvenile champion Stevie Wonderboy and the first stakes winner for freshman sire Bernardini following her visually easy 1 1/4 length victory in the seven-furlong Prestige Stakes at Goodwood. The race was her third start; she won her second at Newmarket last month, going quicker than 3-year-olds on the same card. Too bad she doesn’t seem likely for the Breeders’ Cup, with trainer Brian Meehan saying that he plans to run ‘Theory’ once more this year, possibly in the Fillies’ Mile at Ascot, then shelve her until next spring. “When she strengthens over the winter she will be a top-class three-year-old.” Maybe Churchill in 2011, then?

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