Double Will-Pays
Pimlico Special-Preakness double will-pays from Ed.
The daily double wager linking the Pimlico Special Handicap (G1) with the Preakness Stakes (G1) provided few surprises in how the betting will go for the middle jewel of racing’s Triple Crown on Saturday, as the double with Special winner Student Council and Big Brown would pay $20.20.
Student Council paid $16.40 to win, which translates to a 1-5 price on Big Brown. The second choice was Gayego, the only other Derby starter to enter the Preakness, at $235.80, which is about 14-1.
Special-Preakness double will-pays:
| # | Horse | Will-Pay | Win Odd Equiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macho Again | $569.80 | 37-1 |
| 2 | Tres Borrachos | $1162.80 | 78-1 |
| 3 | Icabad Crane | $587.60 | 38-1 |
| 4 | Yankee Bravo | $410.20 | 26-1 |
| 5 | Behindatthebar | SCR | SCR |
| 6 | Racecar Rhapsody | $391.20 | 25-1 |
| 7 | Big Brown | $20.20 | 1-5 |
| 8 | Kentucky Bear | $287.60 | 18-1 |
| 9 | Stevil | $915.40 | 59-1 |
| 10 | Riley Tucker | $567.40 | 36-1 |
| 11 | Giant Moon | $544.80 | 35-1 |
| 12 | Gayego | $235.80 | 14-1 |
| 13 | Hey Byrn | $572.20 | 34-1 |
| Equivalent win odds = approximately 119.3% | |||
Related: Steven Crist has fun with the numbers, reworking the odds without Big Brown.
The Tickets
With Jessica and I both bullish on the Arkansas Derby, it only makes sense that we would combine our efforts in the hopes of hitting the tri.
We’re playing Gayego w/ Colonel John and Z Fortune w/ ALL and Gayego w/ ALL w/ Colonel John and Z Fortune.
We’ll also back those tickets up by playing Colonel John and Z Fortune on top with Gayego keyed in the second and third spots. We’re betting $60 each on getting Gayego plus at least CJ or Z Fortune to hit the board, but when two people share an opinion on a 20-to-1 horse you gotta hammer it, right?
19 w/ 6, 10 w/ ALL ($36); 19 w/ ALL w/ 6, 10 ($36); 6, 10 w/ 19 w/ 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 16, 18 ($24); 6, 10 w/ 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 16, 18 w/ 19 ($24)
We’re tossing Big Brown.
Appetizer
There’s 33 races scheduled between now and 7 p.m. Saturday, but to hell with patience. I’m heavily invested in #8 Baladeva in here.
He took money sprinting on the turf at Gulfstream and got into trouble when hitting the gate, but still came home in a snappy :11.40.
Baird sticks around, Ward can fire second start, and he gets a drop in class. There’s some negatives, but 2-to-1 is fair value on this one to me, and he’s 5-to-2 now. Let’s get this pick four single home!
Well, that sucked.
Record Handle Recorded
– Through the Oregon wagering hub, and this in a year of upsets and disruptions across ADWs:
Wagering through the Oregon Racing Commission hub system jumped 17.4% in 2007, according to data compiled by the state regulatory agency.
A record total of $1,573,680,475 was processed through Oregon hubs in 2007, up from $1,340,375,866 recorded in 2006.
– Doubts about the times for Dubai World Cup races run after the Godolphin Mile have been raised by the Racing Post, whose clockers came up with discrepancies of almost a second in five races, including the Duty Free, in which Jay Peg was credited with a track record:
Jay Peg was recorded as having set a track best of 1min 46.20sec, beating the time of 1min 46.48sec set by Wolf Whistle in January 2005, despite winning trainer Herman Brown saying immediately after the race: “I didn’t think they went that fast.”
Emirates Racing Authority has removed fractional times for the races from its web site and is conducting an inquiry.
Betting Monitor Needed
In two years, eight instances of past-posting involving New York races. In one test of live data from three races in 2007, a series of bet cancellations after the break in one. Last fall, past-posting at the Fair Grounds, as reported by bettor Mike Maloney. Since September 2007, analysis of pool data from 40 tracks reveals patterns suggestive of suspicious activity. Yes, I’d say it’s time for an independent wagering monitor and a modern tote system.
About
Jessica Chapel writes and edits in Massachusetts. Railbird is a Thoroughbred horse racing blog published from June 2004 to July 2019. More / Contact
Elsewhere
Find Jessica on Pinboard and Instagram, Railbird on LibraryThing and Twitter.
Etc.
Links
Search
Boston Racing
Spreadsheets/Data
← Home
Copyright © 2000-2026 by Jessica Chapel. All rights reserved.