JC / Railbird

The Industry Archive

Plonk’s Pipe Dream

Jeremy Plonk lays out a year of racing with staggered meets, staggered post times in his latest ESPN column:

Circuit Jan-Feb Mar-Apr May-Jun
Early 1 Gulfstream Aqueduct Belmont
Early 2 Philly Park Oaklawn Churchill Downs
Early 3 Fair Grounds Delaware Park Pimlico
Mid 1 Hollywood Santa Anita Fairplex
Mid 2 Sunland Park Zia Park Hawthorne
Night 1 Retama Penn National Presque Isle
Night 2 Mountaineer Hoosier Park Lone Star
Night 3 Prairie Meadows Evangeline Indiana Downs
Circuit Jul-Aug Sept-Oct Nov-Dec
Early 1 Saratoga Calder Hawthorne
Early 2 Monmouth Keeneland Tampa
Early 3 Arlington Laurel Suffolk
Mid 1 Del Mar Oak Tree Golden Gate
Mid 2 Ellis Park Louisiana Downs Turf Paradise
Night 1 Colonial Downs Canterbury Downs Turfway Park
Night 2 Remington Meadowlands Sam Houston
Night 3 Delta Downs Ruidoso Downs Charles Town

Beautiful, except that the Belmont fall championship meet is missing, and relegating Suffolk Downs to winter racing seems harsh. What about the MassCap?

Alternate View

Perhaps not despite the fact, but because there were:

According to Equibase Company, the official statistician of horse racing, wagering on all races conducted in the United States through August is down 3.99% compared to last year, from $10,273,868,002 to $9,863,917,032.
This despite the fact that there were 29 more race days this year.

I point to numbers crunched earlier by Steven Crist.
John Pricci comes to a similar conclusion about market dilution, in a lot more words.
Re: Equibase, usually mild Blood-Horse editor Dan Liebman is outraged at the “preposterous decision” made by the industry’s data collector to stop providing meet-total handle figures. That is preposterous! And not only because such a ridiculous decision makes it harder to report on trends in the industry, but because the attitude behind it is so contrary to this era’s ethos of increasing access to information and data. Another reason for “the brash and the bold to take over,” as commenter JS put it elsewhere …
In happier news, Monograph Mile season kicks off: The Thoroughbred Times is taking nominations for its annual book award, won last year by T.D. Thornton of Suffolk Downs for “Not by a Longshot.”

Sure Thing

One of the biggest and most underreported stories in racing is the ongoing scandal that is the technologically-outdated tote system. While it seems to work most of the time, news of past-posting incidents of varying seriousness keeps breaking, creating a nagging sense of doubt among players. The latest occurred last month, Ray Paulick reports:

The fourth race at Philadelphia Park June 28 was just a run-of-the-mill claiming contest until the Scientific Games totalizator system malfunctioned shortly after Magical American crossed the finish line as the winner. The top three finishers (4-2-3) were put on the board, but the problems with the tote delayed Philadelphia Park from making the race official and posting the payoffs….

A little over a thousand miles away at Tampa Bay Downs on Florida’s Gulf Coast, some horseplayers became curious about what impact the tote failure had on the AmTote wagering machines there.

Lo and behold, they discovered wagers made on the winning horses in Philadelphia Park’s fourth race were still being accepted. The Paulick Report has learned that players started punching out win tickets, exactas and trifectas. The delay, from the time the Philadelphia Park race was run until someone in the Tampa Bay mutuels department realized there was a problem, was about 10 minutes, at which time betting was halted. It was nearly 15 minutes from the time the race was run until the Florida track received a stop betting order from Scientific Games (formerly Autotote).

When the system was restored, Tampa paid out more than $13,000 to bettors who’d taken advantage of the glitch (most of that to one player, who apparently made $1000 in wagers). Dick Jerardi, picking up on the story, points out that the payoffs were unfairly affected for players who had legitimately bet the race:

It is fairly obvious the winner would have paid quite a bit more had the “past posting” not taken place. The daily double, combining the 3-5 winner of the third race and Magical American, paid $32.40, quite a bit more than a 3-5 combined with a 7-2 shot should have paid. Without the very late (and very illegal) betting, Magical American likely would have been 8-1 or so. The $27.20 exacta with second-place Ironton also likely was low.

A couple themes apparent in other recent reports of past-posting appear in the telling of this incident: That the tracks involved, or the TRPB, did not disclose the problem and its effects immediately, and that for all the investigations and fixes in various processes (more on that in Frank Angst’s ThoroTimes article on the incident) there is little sense that there is any urgency on the part of the industry to plug the gaps and update the tote network. Meanwhile, the Wagering Transmission Protocol (PDF), which would be a huge step forward into transparency and accountability, languishes, and bettors are left wondering again how much, really, they can trust the system in which they play.

Late Scratch

Settling in late to watch today’s house hearing on horse racing and catch Randy Moss saying Thomas Jefferson used to keep a stable of racehorses on the White House grounds. Really? That’s an interesting historical tidbit. [Actually, it was Andrew Jackson, who not only kept thoroughbreds on the grounds, but entered runners in the name of his nephew and private secretary Andrew J. Donelson.]
The big news this morning is that Rick Dutrow is a late scratch from the witness list, a change Blinkers Off alerted us to last night. According to the Associated Press, the trainer has been feeling ill since the Belmont (I bet):

“I would go in a minute, but I just don’t feel well.” Dutrow said in a telephone interview. “To go down there when I’m not on top of my game would not be right.”

Ray Paulick, live blogging from the packed hearing room, reported earlier this morning that subcommittee staff were claiming Dutrow didn’t call to say he’d be a no-show, but Joe Drape whispered to Paulick not long after, “They lie … I know for a fact Dutrow called Whitfield’s office.”
Jess Jackson is up now and talking about Curlin running without drugs — “Not that he didn’t in the past, but we changed that, when we went to Dubai.” You know, this hearing isn’t going to be so dry after all …
11:30 am: First panel concludes without one mention of horseplayers and racing fans as stakeholders in this game or of the $15 billion we push through in handle annually.*
1:25 pm: Checking in on the second panel, see NTRA president Alex Waldrop looking tense, his eyes darting about, while congressman Ed Whitfield is saying, “I don’t think it’s unreasonable for the government to set minimum standards.” That would seem to be the conclusion to which much of today’s testimony and questioning leads, but you don’t have to be Alan “Self-Regulation” Marzelli to wonder if that would truly be the best outcome …
* More on this in the comments section of the Paulick Report’s live blog of the hearing. I found myself feeling irked about the oversight after listening to Jess Jackson declare that owners were “the lifeblood” of the industry (not to knock the importance of owners — this sport couldn’t go on without them any more than it could go on without bettors) and then hearing every group but the fans named as stakeholders in the industry in response to one of the representative’s questions. As the passage of the NY OTB bill this week showed, players pay when they get overlooked. The subject today may officially have been horse safety, but what the committee was really talking about was industry regulation via the IHA and I believe players deserve representation in any discussion of that matter, before someone comes up with a brilliant idea like slapping a 1% surchage on every off-track/simulcast wager made so as to pay for a national commission or drug-testing laboratory. Waldrop at least gave a nod to players in his statement — “The last thing this industry needs is another layer of bureaucracy funded by yet another tax on our long-suffering customers” — for which I extend my appreciation.
** Also, my appreciation to Randy Moss, whose written testimony mentions the bettors. Moss, at least in print, was there partly to represent the fans.

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