JC / Railbird

Racing Archive

Sports Betting Is Here

Anticipated as it was, Monday’s Supreme Court ruling killing the sports betting ban rocked a lot of players across the gaming industry. I wrote something for SB Nation about horse racing and its flashy new legal competition.

If you’re looking for something else to read, I’m bookmarking on Pinboard some of the more interesting/informative stories I’ve come across about sports betting, the racing industry’s reaction to the ruling, what might happen next in Massachusetts, and the opportunities for sports media.

Derby ’18 Links

It’s that time of the year again — it’s Kentucky Derby! Hello Race Fans is out with its cheat sheet for the 2018 field, and J.J. Hysell’s capsule ‘capping of each contender will get even the most casual Derby fan up to speed on this Saturday’s starters. (The cheat sheet’s perfect for Derby parties.)

For handicapping:

The historical criteria spreadsheet is back and updated with the 2018 draw.

Don’t forget the Derby prep results spreadsheet: Get the charts and watch the replays for each of this spring’s Derby points races. Beyer and TimeformUS sped figures are also included.

Need historical Derby charts? Download the 1991-2017 charts here (ZIP).

Get free Derby past performances from Brisnet (PDF).

Racing in the DPLA

View of a beautiful black horse, identified as Double Trouble, and a man that may possibly be a trainer or handler; the man holds the horse's rein with his left hand, and is holding a large, fluffy cat next to his chest with his right hand
Double Trouble at Santa Anita (Los Angeles Public Library)

Depending on how you search, there are anywhere from 3,000 to more than 5,000 items in the Digital Public Library of America related to horse racing, such as the photo above, which depicts:

a beautiful black horse, identified as Double Trouble, and a man that may possibly be a trainer or handler. The man holds the horse’s rein with his left hand, and is holding a large, fluffy cat next to his chest with his right hand.

Because the web can always use more cats, more horses, and more racing, I remixed a bot at the community app building platform Glitch that tweets racing items from the DPLA. Follow along @racingpix.

Pop this Balloon, BC Board

If Thoroughbred racing has a silly season, it’s the weeks between the winter holidays and the Eclipse Awards. And things don’t get much sillier than floating the idea to create a Breeders’ Cup Derby, restricted to 3-year-old horses, and move the Breeders’ Cup Classic to December. Ray Paulick reports the idea may get a hearing at an upcoming Breeders’ Cup board meeting:

Should the Breeders’ Cup expand again?

That’s a question the organization’s board of directors is expected to ponder at an upcoming meeting, when a proposal to add a “Breeders’ Cup Derby” for 3-year-olds and push the Breeders’ Cup Classic to a separate date in December will be discussed. Craig Fravel, Breeders’ Cup president and CEO, declined to comment on what he called “matters that may or may not be considered by the board of the Breeders’ Cup.”

(Disclosure: I’ve worked with the Breeders’ Cup on digital media initiatives as a contractor. My work doesn’t put me in contact with the board or BC decision-making, and I haven’t talked to anyone at BC about the Derby/Classic idea or other BC planning. All opinions my own, etc.)

Paulick runs down the major objections to such a scheme: Reduced field quality for such races as the Dirt Mile and less attractive betting. (I can’t imagine any excitement for a new race restricted to the 3-year-old glamour division.) It would also have the bizarre effect of holding a championship weekend without featuring the marquee division. What even is the Breeders’ Cup if the horses at the top of the American racing hierarchy aren’t the thrilling culmination of the event, as they have been since its inception?

In that sense, the proposal poses an existential question for the Breeders’ Cup — is it a competitive event, or is it an exhibition? Is it for horseplayers and fans, or is it for owners and breeders? That’s the tension at the heart of the BC and a Derby and standalone Classic would snap it in favor of one constituency.

For that reason, I have trouble believing the idea is coming from within the Breeders’ Cup. Paulick refers to “some industry stakeholders” pushing the proposal, possibly out of “Triple Crown envy,” and those stakeholders obviously have the clout to compel the BC board to consider the idea. But the idea feels so anti-fan and enough of a threat to dilute the BC brand that it seems unlikely to have strong organizational support.

Re: the Triple Crown, and whether interest in the Triple Crown season among the general public could be replicated later in the year, I’m skeptical. Non-racing fans watch the Kentucky Derby because it’s a cultural event, not because they have an interest in the sophomore division.

One likely effect of trying to emulate Triple Crown season, though, would be the creation of a new three-race series that would link together the Breeders’ Cup Derby (November), Classic (December), and Pegasus World Cup (January). I have no idea if this is part of the intention behind the proposal! It would just be a very tidy series, especially for television, and for trainers, owners, and breeders — who would then have a series worth up to $25 million to aim for with a conclusion snug against the start of the breeding season.

But what would that do to races such as the Travers or Jockey Club Gold Cup and other 3-year-old male and open-company graded stakes scheduled from July to October? A big part of summer and fall racing (and betting) would be shaken up, potentially affecting tracks from New York to New Jersey to California. Maybe money and attention would flow to other divisions during those months, particularly turf, or new, exciting campaign arcs for older horses would emerge, but does anyone really want to find out?

2:00 PM Update: More details on the proposal from Matt Hegarty, including that board member Bobby Flay is supporting the Derby idea and Classic move:

The Flay proposal is based on the belief among some board members that public interest in 3-year-old horses during the Triple Crown races would carry through to the Breeders’ Cup Derby and make for a popular showdown between those horses and older horses if the Breeders’ Cup Classic were held a month later in December. Critics of that proposal, who did not want to be identified because of Flay’s popularity, contend that it misreads the public’s attention span beyond the Triple Crown.

I don’t know, if public interest in Triple Crown contenders carried over past the season, wouldn’t that interest already register? As usual, @o_crunk has a sharp read on the handle implications of a new race and Classic rescheduling.

2018 Derby Points Schedule

Last Saturday’s Sham Stakes at Santa Anita, won by McKinzie, was the first Kentucky Derby points race of 2018, and that means the big Derby prep schedule and results spreadsheet is back for another season.

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