Uncle Mo is scheduled to return in the March 12 Tampa Bay Derby, but there is a chance the colt could debut at Gulfstream Park that day if a race is written for him.
“That’s a possibility should there be something at Gulfstream on March 12,” the trainer said.
Who would run against?
A couple of years ago, I was listening to one of the Road to the Roses teleconferences hosted by the NTRA each spring. Trainer Todd Pletcher was taking questions. In February, a well-bred 3-year-old from his barn had won a grass race impressively at Gulfstream, briefly sparking Kentucky Derby talk. A reporter asked about the colt. Pletcher replied, “Who?”
It was funny, but as I listened to the trainer smoothly make up for his startled first response, I realized he had said everything about how he perceived the colt’s potential, and it wasn’t anything to look forward to on the Derby Trail.
I was reminded of that call yesterday after Brethren won the Sam F. Davis at Tampa Bay Downs by four lengths as the 4-5 favorite. The final time was 1:45.07, for which Brethren was given a Beyer speed figure of 83. DRF Formulator gives his fractions as a steady :24+ per split. His final sixteenth was :6.87, and the way he drew off in the stretch was visually impressive.
For Pletcher, it was his fourth Davis win in five years, a Tampa record, but the trainer wasn’t in the winner’s circle. He watched the race from Gulftream, where he had two horses entered on Saturday afternoon, both in claiming races. “Obviously we have some things to work on at the gate but all in all I thought it was a great effort,” Pletcher told Mike Welsch.
A great effort isn’t Who?, and the trainer may not have been at Tampa for several reasons. Yet I’m getting a sense that, as a Kentucky Derby prospect, Brethren isn’t one to get too excited* about this season.
Mike Watchmaker has a less subjective reason to question Brethren’s Derby potential: “Brethren’s profoundly pedestrian preliminary Beyer of 83 in the Davis didn’t even match the pair of 84’s he earned last year.” The handicapper wasn’t any more impressed with the other two preps on Saturday, and Brad Free reports pessimism at Santa Anita after Tapizar’s dismal run.
Beyer speed figures of 93 and 90 for Silver Medallion in the El Camino Real at Golden Gate and Anthony’s Cross in the Robert B. Lewis at Santa Anita. Charts and replays via the updated Kentucky Derby prep schedule.
First-round Triple Crown nominations are out. Search the 364 nominees.
*The one everyone is excited about worked this morning. Uncle Mo breezed four furlongs in :47.45 in company with Stay Thirsty at Palm Meadows. “It was a tad quicker than we expected. We wanted him to go in :48 and change, but he did it effortlessly,” said Pletcher of the move.
Following up on a question about the proposal made by the New England horsemen to Suffolk Downs on Wednesday and the potential risk of racing this year without purse guarantees, NEHBPA lawyer Frank Frisoli replied:
The proposal just advanced by the NEHBPA offers to fund purses for 2011 based upon the share of revenue generated for purses in accordance with the offer. In this manner any reduction in revenue because of this dispute would be shared by both Suffolk and the NEHBPA…. It certainly appears the economy is recovering so that we can reasonably anticipate business to be at least as good as the prior year. In any event if the revenue is shared as we propose (and as virtually every other venue shares it), and the risk of decreased revenue is likewise shared equitably.
Frisoli describes the offer, partly based on an increase in simulcasting revenue this winter (before signals were blocked), as “very generous.” I would say it’s very interesting, and reminiscent of aspects of Fred Pope’s recently published scheme for paying purses, in that horsemen would have a vested interest in increasing revenues for the purse account. The proposal relies, though, on a 50-50 simulcasting split, about which the NEHBPA is adamant.
Suffolk, which has not yet commented on the horsemen’s proposal, seems just as determined to split toward the lower end of the range allowed by state law (4-7.5% of gross simulcast handle, which equals 25-50% of available revenue). According to numbers provided by the NEHBPA and drawn from track financial documents, Suffolk has paid less each year since 2008, when the simulcasting split was 40.92% to purses, 59.08% to the track. In 2010, 34.49% went to purses, 65.51% to the track. “We have simply asked Suffolk to share the net profit from simulcasting in the same manner as it is shared in virtually every other racing jurisdiction in the United States,” said Frisoli.
Track management has previously pointed to the loss of more than $40 million over the past four years and declining revenues as evidence that a more equitable split isn’t feasible without expanded gaming in Massachusetts.
“The issues are quite simple. Suffolk Downs controls its expenses,” said Frisoli, citing the track’s investment in the Wonderland dog track and expenses related to work on gaming legislation, passage of which would benefit the horsemen as well as the track. “We are not quarreling with Suffolk’s right to choose how to spend its money. But we are contesting its claim that it was ‘forced’ by declining revenue or other economic factors to act as it did.”
The horsemen’s desire for an even split is understandable, I said to Frisoli, but considering the declines since 2007 in total handle (down more than a third) and revenue, the NEHBPA seems to be seeking more of less. “The NEHBPA continues to seek only an equitable share of whatever revenue exists,” he replied, “and will work with Suffolk Downs to increase revenue.”
The Laurel simulcasting signal to Suffolk was cut beginning today, bringing to six the number of blocked tracks. “It is a long-standing practice of the MTHA and its predecessor organization, since the enactment of the Interstate Horse Racing Act, to withdraw the simulcasting signal of Maryland races if there is a contract dispute between a racetrack and its horsemen’s organization,” said Maryland Thoroughbred Horsemen’s Association counsel Alan Foreman. “We don’t take sides. We don’t profess to know the details. It is automatic.” So, nothing personal, Massachusetts bettors! (Thanks to Thoroughbred Times correspondent John Scheinman in Maryland for the assist.)
Racing at Brockton if not at Suffolk? George Carney appears on the scene.
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