– Through the Oregon wagering hub, and this in a year of upsets and disruptions across ADWs:
– Doubts about the times for Dubai World Cup races run after the Godolphin Mile have been raised by the Racing Post, whose clockers came up with discrepancies of almost a second in five races, including the Duty Free, in which Jay Peg was credited with a track record:
Emirates Racing Authority has removed fractional times for the races from its web site and is conducting an inquiry.
In two years, eight instances of past-posting involving New York races. In one test of live data from three races in 2007, a series of bet cancellations after the break in one. Last fall, past-posting at the Fair Grounds, as reported by bettor Mike Maloney. Since September 2007, analysis of pool data from 40 tracks reveals patterns suggestive of suspicious activity. Yes, I’d say it’s time for an independent wagering monitor and a modern tote system.
– Race 1, 5 furlongs, maiden special for two-year-old fillies. Trainer Michael Trombetta debuts Moon Jumper, a daughter of Malibu Moon, off a string of steady works. He’s 20% with two-year-old firsters in the past year and post-time odds on the filly will probably be around 5-2/2-1. She’s a likely winner, but I’m leaning toward another possibility: Kosmo’s Buddy, making her second start for trainer Timothy Salzman. The filly finished fourth in her debut at Pimlico on May 31 at 3.40-1 odds; show horse Extra Sexy Psychic came back to win her second start, a maiden special at Pha, with a 73 Beyer. There are a couple of gaps in her works since that start, but she did breeze four furlongs in :49 on Saturday. If odds are 3-1 or better, I’ll play $20 to win.
– Feature race at Saratoga today is the Adirondack Stakes, which drew a deep field of nine. Likely favorite is More Happy, who was visually impressive winning her Del Mar debut. Sky Mom jumps out with her big 94 Beyer over the Churchill strip two back and Passion for the ease of her debut win at Arlington, and A to the Croft is intriguing, if only because Churchill horses have been doing so well at the Spa. I’m still thinking about how to play this one …
No Laurel play for me yesterday, with Gust and others scratched from the eighth after Friday’s races were taken off the turf. I’ll try again today, in the sixth, a six furlong maiden special for babies with a standout firster in X Rated Cat, who debuts for trainer Timothy Salzman off a string of strong workouts. X Rated Cat is by prepotent sire Storm Cat and out of champion filly Xtra Heat, whose first foal to race, Southwestern Heat, won first out for Salzman in April and then went on to place behind Street Magician in the Hirsch Jacobs Stakes on the Preakness undercard. Play: $20 to win if odds are 2-1 or better, and I’ll try for the exacta using X Rated Cat, Wonder Mon and Take a Leap …
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